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Applicering av maskininlärning för att predicera utfall av Kickstarter-projekt
2021 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Application of machine learning to predict outcome of Kickstarter-projects (English)
Abstract [sv]

Crowdfunding är i den moderna digitala världen ett populärt sätt att samla in pengar till sitt projekt. Kickstarter är en av de ledande sidorna för crowdfunding. Predicering av ett Kickstarter-projekts framgång eller misslyckande kan därav vara av stort intresse för entreprenörer.Studiens syfte är att jämföra fyra olika algoritmers prediceringsförmåga på två olika Kickstarter-dataset. Det ena datasetet sträcker sig mellan åren 2020-2021, och det andra mellan åren 2016-2021. Algoritmerna som jämförs är KNN, Naive Bayes, MLP, och Random Forest.Av dessa fyra modeller så skapades i denna studie de bästa produktionsmodellerna av KNN och Random Forest. KNN var bäst för 2020-2021-datasetet, med 77,0% träffsäkerhet. Random Forest var bäst för 2016-2021-datasetet, med 76,8% träffsäkerhet.

Abstract [en]

Crowdfunding has in the modern, digitalized world become a popular method for gathering money for a project. Kickstarter is one of the most popular websites for crowdfunding. This means that predicting the success or failure of a Kickstarter-project by way of machine learning could be of great interest to entrepreneurs.The purpose of this study is to compare the predictive abilities of four different algorithms on two different Kickstarter-datasets. One dataset contains data in the span of the years 2020-2021, and the other contains data from 2016-2021. The algorithms used in this study are KNN, Naive Bayes, MLP and Random Forest.Out of these four algorithms, the top-performing prediction abilities for the two datasets were found in KNN and Random Forest. KNN was the best-performing algorithm for 2020-2021, with 77,0% accuracy. Random Forest had the top score for 2016-2021, with 76,8% accuracy.

The language used in this study is Swedish.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021.
Keywords [en]
Crowdfunding, Machine learning, Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron, KNN, Naive Bayes
Keywords [sv]
Crowdfunding, Maskininlärning, Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron, KNN, Naive Bayes
National Category
Computer and Information Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hb:diva-26915OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hb-26915DiVA, id: diva2:1612456
Subject / course
Informatics
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2022-01-04 Created: 2021-11-18 Last updated: 2025-09-24Bibliographically approved

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Computer and Information Sciences

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • apa
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